Daniel Kelly vs Steve Montgomery
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record10-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
70,5"Reach75,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Resilience Training CentreTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Daniel Kelly is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Steve Montgomery carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1712
If they lose-21→ 1680
If they win+21→ 1608
If they lose-11→ 1576
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel KellySteve Montgomery
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Kelly59%
Steve Montgomery 41%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Kelly a 59% favorite over Steve Montgomery in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Daniel Kelly holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1701 to 1587, a 114-point edge.
Daniel Kelly enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Daniel Kelly finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Steve Montgomery 90%.
Steve Montgomery carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.