Daniel Lacerda vs Erson Yamamoto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record7-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
70"Reach-
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamKrazy Bee
What's at stake
Daniel Lacerda is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Erson Yamamoto carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1522
If they lose-17→ 1490
If they win+17→ 1492
If they lose-15→ 1460
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel LacerdaErson Yamamoto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erson Yamamoto73%
Daniel Lacerda 27%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Erson Yamamoto a 73% favorite over Daniel Lacerda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Lacerda's way (45%).
Daniel Lacerda holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1507 to 1475, a 32-point edge.
Erson Yamamoto enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Daniel Lacerda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Erson Yamamoto 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.