Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Lacerda vs Hamad Marhoon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record1-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
70"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamKHK MMA Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel LacerdaNow 1507
If they win+16→ 1523
If they lose-16→ 1491
Hamad MarhoonNow 1510
If they win+24→ 1534
If they lose-24→ 1486

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.95
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
8.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
35%
Strike defense
TBD
2.32
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.16
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniel LacerdaHamad Marhoon
1500155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
7 (58%)
Submission
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Hamad Marhoon51%
Daniel Lacerda 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hamad Marhoon a 51% favorite over Daniel Lacerda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1507 vs 1510), separated by just 3 points.

Daniel Lacerda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Daniel Lacerda carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.