Daniel Lacerda vs Jin Tanaka
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record0-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
70"Reach-
135 lbsWeight124 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego Lima· avg 1659 EloTeamBurst
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1523
If they lose-16→ 1491
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight EloTBD
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jin Tanaka60%
Daniel Lacerda 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jin Tanaka a 60% favorite over Daniel Lacerda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Lacerda's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1507 vs 1500), separated by just 7 points.
Daniel Lacerda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.