Daniel Lacerda vs Josh Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record10-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1523
If they lose-16→ 1491
If they win+12→ 1519
If they lose-12→ 1495
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel LacerdaJosh Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Lacerda60%
Josh Smith 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Lacerda a 60% favorite over Josh Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1507 vs 1507), separated by just 0 points.
Daniel Lacerda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Josh Smith 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.