Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Lacerda vs Shaun Etchell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record7-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
70"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamLaunceston Boxing & MMA Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel LacerdaNow 1507
If they win+16→ 1523
If they lose-16→ 1491
Shaun EtchellNow 1507
If they win+16→ 1523
If they lose-16→ 1491

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.95
Sig. strikes / min
0
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
8.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0
35%
Strike defense
100%
2.32
Takedown avg.
4.37
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
0%
1.16
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniel LacerdaShaun Etchell
15001550202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
7 (58%)
Submission
2 (29%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Lacerda52%
Shaun Etchell 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Lacerda a 52% favorite over Shaun Etchell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1507 vs 1507), separated by just 0 points.

Shaun Etchell enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Daniel Lacerda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Shaun Etchell 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.