Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Lacerda vs Victor Altamirano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record12-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
70"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamDouble Five Mid Cities

What's at stake

Victor Altamirano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Daniel Lacerda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel LacerdaNow 1507
If they win+22→ 1529
If they lose-10→ 1497
Victor AltamiranoNow 1636
If they win+10→ 1646
If they lose-22→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.95
Sig. strikes / min
4.58
46%
Strike accuracy
53%
8.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.82
35%
Strike defense
53%
2.32
Takedown avg.
2.88
50%
Takedown accuracy
38%
0%
Takedown defense
63%
1.16
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniel LacerdaVictor Altamirano
15001550160016501700202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
7 (58%)
Submission
4 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Victor Altamirano63%
Daniel Lacerda 37%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Victor Altamirano a 63% favorite over Daniel Lacerda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Victor Altamirano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1507, a 129-point edge.

Victor Altamirano enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Lacerda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Victor Altamirano 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.