Daniel Marcos vs John Castañeda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-1-0Record21-9-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
69"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
Daniel Marcos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — John Castañeda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1796
If they lose-20→ 1764
If they win+15→ 1699
If they lose-9→ 1675
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Daniel MarcosJohn Castañeda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Marcos66%
John Castañeda 34%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Marcos a 66% favorite over John Castañeda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Daniel Marcos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1784 to 1684, a 100-point edge.
Daniel Marcos enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Daniel Marcos finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, John Castañeda 67%.
Daniel Marcos and John Castañeda share 1 common opponent: Miles Johns.
John Castañeda carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.