Daniel Marcos vs John Castañeda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-1-0Record21-8-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
69"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Los Perros SarnososTeamThe Academy
What's at stake
Daniel Marcos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — John Castañeda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1780
If they lose-19→ 1748
If they win+14→ 1710
If they lose-10→ 1686
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel MarcosJohn Castañeda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Marcos71%
John Castañeda 29%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Marcos a 71% favorite over John Castañeda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Daniel Marcos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1696, a 71-point edge.
Daniel Marcos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, John Castañeda 67%.
Daniel Marcos and John Castañeda share 1 common opponent: Miles Johns.
John Castañeda carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.