Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Marcos vs José Aldo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
José Aldo
br

José Aldo

“Junior”

32-10-0BantamweightUFC

1782Great

Tale of the tape

19-1-0Record32-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
69"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Los Perros SarnososTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel MarcosNow 1785
If they win+16→ 1801
If they lose-16→ 1769
José AldoNow 1782
If they win+12→ 1794
If they lose-12→ 1770

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1747 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.90
Sig. strikes / min
3.62
54%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.72
61%
Strike defense
61%
1.35
Takedown avg.
0.49
0%
Takedown accuracy
54%
85%
Takedown defense
93%
0.15
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Daniel MarcosJosé Aldo
175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (47%)
KO/TKO
17 (53%)
1 (5%)
Submission
1 (3%)
9 (47%)
Decision
14 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Marcos92%
José Aldo 8%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Marcos a 92% favorite over José Aldo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1785 vs 1782), separated by just 3 points.

Daniel Marcos enters on a 2-fight win streak.

José Aldo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Marcos finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, José Aldo 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.