Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Marcos vs Magomed Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-1-0Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
69"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight137 lbs
Los Perros SarnososTeamDagFighter· avg 1718 Elo

What's at stake

Daniel Marcos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Magomed Magomedov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel MarcosNow 1770
If they win+13→ 1783
If they lose-19→ 1751
Magomed MagomedovNow 1704
If they win+14→ 1718
If they lose-10→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.90
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
54%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
1.35
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
85%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.15
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniel MarcosMagomed Magomedov
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
4 (18%)
1 (6%)
Submission
10 (45%)
9 (50%)
Decision
8 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Marcos67%
Magomed Magomedov 33%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Marcos a 67% favorite over Magomed Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Daniel Marcos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1770 to 1704, a 66-point edge.

Daniel Marcos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Magomedov 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.