Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Marcos vs Mario Bautista

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-1-0Record18-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'9"
69"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Los Perros SarnososTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel MarcosNow 1785
If they win+16→ 1801
If they lose-16→ 1769
Mario BautistaNow 1790
If they win+16→ 1806
If they lose-16→ 1774

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1728 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.90
Sig. strikes / min
5.30
54%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.98
61%
Strike defense
55%
1.35
Takedown avg.
1.91
0%
Takedown accuracy
38%
85%
Takedown defense
56%
0.15
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Daniel MarcosMario Bautista
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (47%)
KO/TKO
3 (17%)
1 (5%)
Submission
7 (39%)
9 (47%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Daniel Marcos and Mario Bautista within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1785 vs 1790), separated by just 5 points.

Daniel Marcos enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mario Bautista enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Daniel Marcos finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Mario Bautista 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.