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Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Marcos vs Mario Bautista

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-1-0Record18-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'9"
69"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel MarcosNow 1784
If they win+16→ 1800
If they lose-16→ 1768
Mario BautistaNow 1791
If they win+16→ 1807
If they lose-16→ 1775

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1728 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.90
Sig. strikes / min
5.30
54%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.98
61%
Strike defense
55%
1.35
Takedown avg.
1.91
0%
Takedown accuracy
38%
85%
Takedown defense
56%
0.15
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Daniel MarcosMario Bautista
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (47%)
KO/TKO
3 (17%)
1 (5%)
Submission
7 (39%)
9 (47%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Mario Bautista64%
Daniel Marcos 36%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Mario Bautista a 64% favorite over Daniel Marcos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1784 vs 1791), separated by just 7 points.

Daniel Marcos enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mario Bautista enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Daniel Marcos finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Mario Bautista 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.