Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Marcos vs Montel Jackson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-1-0Record15-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'10"
69"Reach75″
135 lbsWeight136 lbs

What's at stake

Daniel Marcos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Montel Jackson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel MarcosNow 1785
If they win+14→ 1799
If they lose-18→ 1767
Montel JacksonNow 1744
If they win+18→ 1762
If they lose-14→ 1730

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1688 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.90
Sig. strikes / min
3.09
54%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.40
61%
Strike defense
61%
1.35
Takedown avg.
3
0%
Takedown accuracy
64%
85%
Takedown defense
68%
0.15
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Daniel MarcosMontel Jackson
1750180020252026

Win method breakdown

9 (47%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
1 (5%)
Submission
1 (7%)
9 (47%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Marcos84%
Montel Jackson 16%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Marcos a 84% favorite over Montel Jackson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Daniel Marcos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1785 to 1744, a 41-point edge.

Daniel Marcos enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Montel Jackson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Marcos finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Montel Jackson 60%.

Montel Jackson carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.