Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Marcos vs Raoni Barcelos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-1-0Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
69"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel MarcosNow 1785
If they win+16→ 1801
If they lose-16→ 1769
Raoni BarcelosNow 1780
If they win+16→ 1796
If they lose-16→ 1764

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1709 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.90
Sig. strikes / min
4.92
54%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
61%
Strike defense
61%
1.35
Takedown avg.
2.22
0%
Takedown accuracy
31%
85%
Takedown defense
88%
0.15
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

Daniel MarcosRaoni Barcelos
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (47%)
KO/TKO
8 (36%)
1 (5%)
Submission
3 (14%)
9 (47%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Marcos59%
Raoni Barcelos 41%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Marcos a 59% favorite over Raoni Barcelos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1785 vs 1780), separated by just 5 points.

Daniel Marcos enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Raoni Barcelos enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Daniel Marcos finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Raoni Barcelos 50%.

Daniel Marcos and Raoni Barcelos share 1 common opponent: Montel Jackson.

Daniel Marcos carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Montel Jackson
WinDecision (split) · 2026