Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Marcos vs Saimon Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-1-0Record18-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
69"Reach72"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Los Perros SarnososTeamAstra Fight Team

What's at stake

Daniel Marcos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Saimon Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel MarcosNow 1767
If they win+9→ 1776
If they lose-23→ 1744
Saimon OliveiraNow 1595
If they win+23→ 1618
If they lose-9→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.11
Sig. strikes / min
2.67
54%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.13
62%
Strike defense
47%
0.99
Takedown avg.
1.07
46%
Takedown accuracy
25%
85%
Takedown defense
39%
0
Submission avg.
1.43

Trajectory

Daniel MarcosSaimon Oliveira
160016501700175020242025

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (28%)
1 (6%)
Submission
11 (61%)
9 (50%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Marcos92%
Saimon Oliveira 8%Elo baseline: 73%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Marcos a 92% favorite over Saimon Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).

Daniel Marcos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1595, a 172-point edge.

Saimon Oliveira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Daniel Marcos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Saimon Oliveira 89%.

Saimon Oliveira carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.