Daniel Marcos vs Saimon Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-1-0Record18-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
69"Reach72"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Los Perros SarnososTeamAstra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Daniel Marcos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Saimon Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1793
If they lose-24→ 1761
If they win+24→ 1619
If they lose-8→ 1587
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel MarcosSaimon Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Marcos92%
Saimon Oliveira 8%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Marcos a 92% favorite over Saimon Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Daniel Marcos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1785 to 1595, a 190-point edge.
Daniel Marcos enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Saimon Oliveira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Daniel Marcos finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Saimon Oliveira 89%.
Saimon Oliveira carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.