Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Omielanczuk vs Guilherme Pat

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-14-1Record6-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'5"
74,0"Reach80"
254 lbsWeight265 lbs
WCA Fight TeamTeamLotus Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel OmielanczukNow 1614
If they win+12→ 1626
If they lose-12→ 1602
Guilherme PatNow 1618
If they win+24→ 1642
If they lose-24→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.09
Sig. strikes / min
2.70
57%
Strike accuracy
62%
3.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.03
48%
Strike defense
52%
0.56
Takedown avg.
0
27%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
68%
Takedown defense
100%
0.14
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniel OmielanczukGuilherme Pat
16001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (23%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
10 (38%)
Submission
0 (0%)
10 (38%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Guilherme Pat72%
Daniel Omielanczuk 28%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Guilherme Pat a 72% favorite over Daniel Omielanczuk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1618), separated by just 4 points.

Daniel Omielanczuk finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Guilherme Pat 67%.

Guilherme Pat carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.