Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Omielanczuk vs Jared Rosholt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-14-1Record20-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
74,0"Reach41,0"
254 lbsWeight240 lbs
WCA Fight TeamTeamTeam Takedown

What's at stake

Jared Rosholt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Daniel Omielanczuk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel OmielanczukNow 1614
If they win+14→ 1628
If they lose-10→ 1604
Jared RosholtNow 1660
If they win+10→ 1670
If they lose-14→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.09
Sig. strikes / min
2.08
57%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.52
48%
Strike defense
60%
0.56
Takedown avg.
1.83
27%
Takedown accuracy
42%
68%
Takedown defense
67%
0.14
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Daniel OmielanczukJared Rosholt
1600165017002017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

6 (23%)
KO/TKO
7 (35%)
10 (38%)
Submission
1 (5%)
10 (38%)
Decision
12 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Jared Rosholt72%
Daniel Omielanczuk 28%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Jared Rosholt a 72% favorite over Daniel Omielanczuk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Jared Rosholt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1660 to 1614, a 46-point edge.

Daniel Omielanczuk finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Jared Rosholt 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.