Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Omielanczuk vs Mohammed Usman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-14-1Record11-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
74,0"Reach79"
254 lbsWeight237 lbs
WCA Fight Team· 1652 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamWar Room Kickboxing & MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel OmielanczukNow 1614
If they win+12→ 1626
If they lose-12→ 1602
Mohammed UsmanNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.09
Sig. strikes / min
3.85
57%
Strike accuracy
39%
3.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
48%
Strike defense
51%
0.56
Takedown avg.
0.56
27%
Takedown accuracy
14%
68%
Takedown defense
67%
0.14
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniel OmielanczukMohammed Usman
1600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (23%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
10 (38%)
Submission
2 (18%)
10 (38%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Mohammed Usman66%
Daniel Omielanczuk 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mohammed Usman a 66% favorite over Daniel Omielanczuk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1615), separated by just 1 points.

Daniel Omielanczuk finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Mohammed Usman 55%.

Mohammed Usman carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.