Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Omielanczuk vs Nandor Guelmino

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-14-1Record11-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
74,0"ReachTBD
254 lbsWeight230 lbs
WCA Fight TeamTeamGym 23

What's at stake

Daniel Omielanczuk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Nandor Guelmino carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel OmielanczukNow 1614
If they win+10→ 1624
If they lose-14→ 1600
Nandor GuelminoNow 1555
If they win+19→ 1574
If they lose-13→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.09
Sig. strikes / min
4.21
57%
Strike accuracy
57%
3.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.68
48%
Strike defense
34%
0.56
Takedown avg.
0
27%
Takedown accuracy
0%
68%
Takedown defense
43%
0.14
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniel OmielanczukNandor Guelmino
15501600165020192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

6 (23%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
10 (38%)
Submission
6 (55%)
10 (38%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Omielanczuk72%
Nandor Guelmino 28%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Omielanczuk a 72% favorite over Nandor Guelmino in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Daniel Omielanczuk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1614 to 1555, a 59-point edge.

Nandor Guelmino enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Omielanczuk finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Nandor Guelmino 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.