Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Omielanczuk vs Stefan Struve

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-14-1Record29-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height7'0"
74,0"Reach84,5"
254 lbsWeight265 lbs
WCA Fight TeamTeamTeam Schrijber

What's at stake

Stefan Struve is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Daniel Omielanczuk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel OmielanczukNow 1614
If they win+14→ 1628
If they lose-10→ 1604
Stefan StruveNow 1664
If they win+10→ 1674
If they lose-14→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.09
Sig. strikes / min
3.12
57%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.04
48%
Strike defense
47%
0.56
Takedown avg.
0.56
27%
Takedown accuracy
47%
68%
Takedown defense
56%
0.14
Submission avg.
1.68

Trajectory

Daniel OmielanczukStefan Struve
16001650170020192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

6 (23%)
KO/TKO
8 (29%)
10 (38%)
Submission
18 (64%)
10 (38%)
Decision
2 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Stefan Struve71%
Daniel Omielanczuk 29%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Stefan Struve a 71% favorite over Daniel Omielanczuk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Stefan Struve holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1614, a 50-point edge.

Stefan Struve enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Omielanczuk finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Stefan Struve 93%.

Stefan Struve carries a 10-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.