Daniel Pineda vs Darren Elkins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-17-0Record29-13-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
69"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1653 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamDuneland Vale Tudo
What's at stake
Darren Elkins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Daniel Pineda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1608
If they lose-9→ 1584
If they win+9→ 1694
If they lose-15→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel PinedaDarren Elkins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Darren Elkins80%
Daniel Pineda 20%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Darren Elkins a 80% favorite over Daniel Pineda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Darren Elkins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1593, a 92-point edge.
Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Darren Elkins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Daniel Pineda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Darren Elkins 52%.
Daniel Pineda and Darren Elkins share 1 common opponent: Cub Swanson.
Darren Elkins carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.