Daniel Pineda vs Diego Brandao
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-17-0Record29-21-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
69"Reach38,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1653 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Diego Brandao is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Daniel Pineda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1606
If they lose-11→ 1582
If they win+11→ 1628
If they lose-13→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel PinedaDiego Brandao
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Brandao60%
Daniel Pineda 40%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Brandao a 60% favorite over Daniel Pineda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Diego Brandao holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1617 to 1593, a 24-point edge.
Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Diego Brandao enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Daniel Pineda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Diego Brandao 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.