Daniel Pineda vs Mackens Semerzier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
28-17-0Record8-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
69"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1606 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamTeam Curran
What's at stake
Daniel Pineda is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mackens Semerzier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1606
If they lose-13→ 1582
If they win+17→ 1595
If they lose-15→ 1563
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Daniel PinedaMackens Semerzier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Pineda57%
Mackens Semerzier 43%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Pineda a 57% favorite over Mackens Semerzier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Daniel Pineda holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1595 to 1578, a 17-point edge.
Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mackens Semerzier enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Daniel Pineda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mackens Semerzier 100%.
Daniel Pineda and Mackens Semerzier share 2 common opponents: Alex Caceres and Cub Swanson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.