Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Pineda vs Mike Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

28-17-0Record26-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
69"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
4oz. Fight ClubTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Mike Brown is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Daniel Pineda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel PinedaNow 1593
If they win+15→ 1608
If they lose-9→ 1584
Mike BrownNow 1669
If they win+13→ 1682
If they lose-19→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.85
Sig. strikes / min
2.98
50%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.45
46%
Strike defense
61%
1.42
Takedown avg.
3.23
24%
Takedown accuracy
40%
55%
Takedown defense
67%
1.54
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Daniel PinedaMike Brown
16001650170020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

9 (32%)
KO/TKO
5 (19%)
19 (68%)
Submission
13 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Mike Brown72%
Daniel Pineda 28%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Mike Brown a 72% favorite over Daniel Pineda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Mike Brown holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1669 to 1593, a 76-point edge.

Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Pineda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mike Brown 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.