Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Pineda vs Pat Schilling

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

28-17-0Record5-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
69"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
4oz. Fight ClubTeamAmbition Training Academy

What's at stake

Daniel Pineda is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Pat Schilling carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel PinedaNow 1593
If they win+10→ 1603
If they lose-14→ 1579
Pat SchillingNow 1522
If they win+29→ 1551
If they lose-19→ 1503

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.85
Sig. strikes / min
1.87
50%
Strike accuracy
27%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.24
46%
Strike defense
53%
1.42
Takedown avg.
0
24%
Takedown accuracy
0%
55%
Takedown defense
0%
1.54
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniel PinedaPat Schilling
1550160020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

9 (32%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
19 (68%)
Submission
4 (80%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Pat Schilling61%
Daniel Pineda 39%Elo baseline: 40%

The Combat Edge model makes Pat Schilling a 61% favorite over Daniel Pineda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Pineda's way (40%).

Daniel Pineda holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1593 to 1522, a 71-point edge.

Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Pat Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Pineda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Pat Schilling 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.