Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Pineda vs Ricky Turcios

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

28-17-0Record12-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
69"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1653 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel PinedaNow 1593
If they win+12→ 1605
If they lose-12→ 1581
Ricky TurciosNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.85
Sig. strikes / min
4.73
50%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.72
46%
Strike defense
52%
1.42
Takedown avg.
0.91
24%
Takedown accuracy
20%
55%
Takedown defense
44%
1.54
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Daniel PinedaRicky Turcios
1600202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (32%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
19 (68%)
Submission
1 (8%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricky Turcios62%
Daniel Pineda 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricky Turcios a 62% favorite over Daniel Pineda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Pineda's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1592), separated by just 1 points.

Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ricky Turcios enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Pineda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Turcios 33%.

Ricky Turcios carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.