Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Roberts vs David Zawada

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-7-0Record20-13-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamUFD Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel RobertsNow 1563
If they win+16→ 1579
If they lose-16→ 1547
David ZawadaNow 1560
If they win+12→ 1572
If they lose-12→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.73
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
20%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
46%
Strike defense
56%
2.46
Takedown avg.
0.97
44%
Takedown accuracy
17%
40%
Takedown defense
57%
2.46
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Daniel RobertsDavid Zawada
1550160020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
12 (60%)
9 (60%)
Submission
5 (25%)
4 (27%)
Decision
3 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

David Zawada60%
Daniel Roberts 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes David Zawada a 60% favorite over Daniel Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Roberts's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1560), separated by just 3 points.

Daniel Roberts finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, David Zawada 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.