Daniel Roberts vs Forrest Petz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record26-10-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamStrong Style Fight Team
What's at stake
Forrest Petz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Daniel Roberts carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1583
If they lose-12→ 1551
If they win+9→ 1659
If they lose-15→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel RobertsForrest Petz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Forrest Petz58%
Daniel Roberts 42%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Forrest Petz a 58% favorite over Daniel Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Forrest Petz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1563, a 87-point edge.
Daniel Roberts finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Forrest Petz 65%.
Daniel Roberts and Forrest Petz share 1 common opponent: Brian Foster.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.