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Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Roberts vs Greg Soto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-7-0Record9-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamPellegrino MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel RobertsNow 1563
If they win+16→ 1579
If they lose-16→ 1547
Greg SotoNow 1557
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.73
Sig. strikes / min
3.21
20%
Strike accuracy
64%
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
46%
Strike defense
53%
2.46
Takedown avg.
1.49
44%
Takedown accuracy
27%
40%
Takedown defense
44%
2.46
Submission avg.
0.99

Trajectory

Daniel RobertsGreg Soto
1550160020132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
9 (60%)
Submission
4 (44%)
4 (27%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Greg Soto51%
Daniel Roberts 49%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Greg Soto a 51% favorite over Daniel Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Roberts's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1557), separated by just 6 points.

Greg Soto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Roberts finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Greg Soto 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.