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Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Roberts vs John Howard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
John Howard
us

John Howard

“Doomsday”

29-19-1WelterweightXMMA

1607Solid

Tale of the tape

15-7-0Record29-19-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'7"
TBDReach40,0"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs

What's at stake

John Howard is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Daniel Roberts carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel RobertsNow 1563
If they win+18→ 1581
If they lose-14→ 1549
John HowardNow 1607
If they win+10→ 1617
If they lose-14→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.73
Sig. strikes / min
2.15
20%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.08
46%
Strike defense
51%
2.46
Takedown avg.
2.70
44%
Takedown accuracy
49%
40%
Takedown defense
54%
2.46
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Daniel RobertsJohn Howard
1550160016502013201420152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
10 (34%)
9 (60%)
Submission
7 (24%)
4 (27%)
Decision
12 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

John Howard68%
Daniel Roberts 32%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes John Howard a 68% favorite over Daniel Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

John Howard holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1607 to 1563, a 44-point edge.

John Howard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Roberts finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, John Howard 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.