Daniel Roberts vs Mike Guymon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record15-6-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamJoker's MMA
What's at stake
Daniel Roberts is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Mike Guymon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1577
If they lose-18→ 1545
If they win+18→ 1544
If they lose-14→ 1512
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel RobertsMike Guymon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Roberts68%
Mike Guymon 32%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Roberts a 68% favorite over Mike Guymon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Daniel Roberts holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1563 to 1526, a 37-point edge.
Mike Guymon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Daniel Roberts finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Mike Guymon 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.