Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Roberts vs Rich Attonito

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rich Attonito
us

Rich Attonito

“The Raging Bull”

10-5-0WelterweightUFC

1593Solid

Tale of the tape

15-7-0Record10-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Rich Attonito is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Daniel Roberts carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel RobertsNow 1563
If they win+17→ 1580
If they lose-15→ 1548
Rich AttonitoNow 1593
If they win+15→ 1608
If they lose-17→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.73
Sig. strikes / min
2.28
20%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.13
46%
Strike defense
59%
2.46
Takedown avg.
0.74
44%
Takedown accuracy
38%
40%
Takedown defense
75%
2.46
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniel RobertsRich Attonito
1550160020102011201220132014

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
9 (60%)
Submission
2 (20%)
4 (27%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Roberts51%
Rich Attonito 49%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Roberts a 51% favorite over Rich Attonito in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rich Attonito's way (46%).

Rich Attonito holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1593 to 1563, a 30-point edge.

Daniel Roberts finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Rich Attonito 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.