Daniel Rodriguez vs Dwight Grant
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-5-0Record11-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
74"Reach76"
184 lbsWeight185 lbs
10th Planet Jiu-JitsuTeamAlliance MMA
What's at stake
Daniel Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Dwight Grant carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1756
If they lose-15→ 1732
If they win+21→ 1664
If they lose-11→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel RodriguezDwight Grant
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Rodriguez72%
Dwight Grant 28%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Rodriguez a 72% favorite over Dwight Grant in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Daniel Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1747 to 1643, a 104-point edge.
Daniel Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Dwight Grant enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Daniel Rodriguez finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Dwight Grant 64%.
Dwight Grant carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.