Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Rodriguez vs Erivan Pereira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record20-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
74"Reach-
184 lbsWeight172 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel RodriguezNow 1731
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-12→ 1719
Erivan PereiraNow 1735
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1722 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.20
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
49%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
0.51
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
64%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.08
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniel RodriguezErivan Pereira
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
6 (30%)
4 (20%)
Submission
3 (15%)
7 (35%)
Decision
11 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Rodriguez63%
Erivan Pereira 37%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Rodriguez a 63% favorite over Erivan Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Erivan Pereira's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1735), separated by just 4 points.

Erivan Pereira enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Daniel Rodriguez finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Erivan Pereira 45%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.