Daniel Rodriguez vs Jingliang Li
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-5-0Record19-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"Reach71"
184 lbsWeight170 lbs
10th Planet Jiu-JitsuTeamChina Top Team
What's at stake
Daniel Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jingliang Li carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1758
If they lose-13→ 1734
If they win+13→ 1717
If they lose-11→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1706 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel RodriguezJingliang Li
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Rodriguez70%
Jingliang Li 30%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Rodriguez a 70% favorite over Jingliang Li in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Daniel Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1747 to 1704, a 43-point edge.
Daniel Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jingliang Li enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Daniel Rodriguez finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Jingliang Li 74%.
Daniel Rodriguez and Jingliang Li share 2 common opponents: Santiago Ponzinibbio and Neil Magny.
Daniel Rodriguez carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.