Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Rodriguez vs Mike Perry

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Perry
us

Mike Perry

“Platinum”

15-8-0WelterweightMVP

1686Good

Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record15-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
74"Reach 71"
184 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

Daniel Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Mike Perry carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel RodriguezNow 1731
If they win+10→ 1741
If they lose-14→ 1717
Mike PerryNow 1686
If they win+18→ 1704
If they lose-14→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1722 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.20
Sig. strikes / min
4.32
49%
Strike accuracy
47%
5.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.16
58%
Strike defense
53%
0.51
Takedown avg.
0.81
50%
Takedown accuracy
41%
64%
Takedown defense
79%
0.08
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Daniel RodriguezMike Perry
1700175020252026

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
12 (80%)
4 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (35%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Rodriguez60%
Mike Perry 40%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Rodriguez a 60% favorite over Mike Perry in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Daniel Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1731 to 1686, a 45-point edge.

Daniel Rodriguez finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Mike Perry 80%.

Daniel Rodriguez carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.