Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Rodriguez vs Neil Magny

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Neil Magny
us

Neil Magny

“The Haitian Sensation”

31-14-0WelterweightUFC

1758Great

Tale of the tape

20-5-0Record31-14-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
74"Reach80"
184 lbsWeight170 lbs
10th Planet Jiu-JitsuTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel RodriguezNow 1747
If they win+12→ 1759
If they lose-12→ 1735
Neil MagnyNow 1758
If they win+12→ 1770
If they lose-12→ 1746

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.20
Sig. strikes / min
3.40
49%
Strike accuracy
47%
5.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.44
58%
Strike defense
52%
0.51
Takedown avg.
2.17
50%
Takedown accuracy
25%
64%
Takedown defense
55%
0.08
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Daniel RodriguezNeil Magny
17001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
9 (29%)
4 (20%)
Submission
5 (16%)
7 (35%)
Decision
17 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Neil Magny59%
Daniel Rodriguez 41%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 59% favorite over Daniel Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1747 vs 1758), separated by just 11 points.

Daniel Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Daniel Rodriguez finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 45%.

Daniel Rodriguez and Neil Magny share 1 common opponent: Ian Machado Garry.

Neil Magny carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2023
Ian Machado Garry
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023