Daniel Rodriguez vs Neil Magny
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-6-0Record32-14-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
74"Reach80"
184 lbsWeight170 lbs
10th Planet Jiu-JitsuTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Daniel Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1744
If they lose-11→ 1720
If they win+11→ 1779
If they lose-13→ 1755
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1722 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel RodriguezNeil Magny
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny71%
Daniel Rodriguez 29%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 71% favorite over Daniel Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1768 to 1731, a 37-point edge.
Daniel Rodriguez finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 47%.
Daniel Rodriguez and Neil Magny share 1 common opponent: Ian Machado Garry.
Neil Magny carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.