Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Rodriguez vs Nicolas Dalby

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Nicolas Dalby
dk

Nicolas Dalby

“Danish Dynamite”

24-6-1WelterweightUFC

1729Good

Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record24-6-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
74"Reach74"
184 lbsWeight171 lbs
10th Planet Jiu-JitsuTeamRumble Sports

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel RodriguezNow 1731
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-12→ 1719
Nicolas DalbyNow 1729
If they win+12→ 1741
If they lose-12→ 1717

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1722 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1726 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.20
Sig. strikes / min
3.88
49%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.51
58%
Strike defense
52%
0.51
Takedown avg.
0.90
50%
Takedown accuracy
27%
64%
Takedown defense
59%
0.08
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Daniel RodriguezNicolas Dalby
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
7 (29%)
4 (20%)
Submission
4 (17%)
7 (35%)
Decision
13 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Rodriguez63%
Nicolas Dalby 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Rodriguez a 63% favorite over Nicolas Dalby in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1729), separated by just 2 points.

Daniel Rodriguez finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Nicolas Dalby 46%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.