Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Rodriguez vs Patrick Cote

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Patrick Cote
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Patrick Cote

“The Predator”

23-11-0WelterweightUFC

1728Good

Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record23-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
74"Reach75"
184 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel RodriguezNow 1731
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-12→ 1719
Patrick CoteNow 1728
If they win+12→ 1740
If they lose-12→ 1716

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1722 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.20
Sig. strikes / min
2.81
49%
Strike accuracy
48%
5.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.21
58%
Strike defense
49%
0.51
Takedown avg.
0.68
50%
Takedown accuracy
21%
64%
Takedown defense
44%
0.08
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Daniel RodriguezPatrick Cote
17001750201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
10 (45%)
4 (20%)
Submission
3 (14%)
7 (35%)
Decision
9 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Rodriguez72%
Patrick Cote 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Rodriguez a 72% favorite over Patrick Cote in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1728), separated by just 3 points.

Patrick Cote enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Rodriguez finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Cote 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.