Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Rodriguez vs Preston Parsons

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-5-0Record11-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
74"Reach71"
184 lbsWeight170 lbs
10th Planet Jiu-JitsuTeamElevate MMA

What's at stake

Daniel Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Preston Parsons carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel RodriguezNow 1747
If they win+7→ 1754
If they lose-17→ 1730
Preston ParsonsNow 1610
If they win+22→ 1632
If they lose-10→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.20
Sig. strikes / min
3.50
49%
Strike accuracy
52%
5.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.12
58%
Strike defense
55%
0.51
Takedown avg.
3.53
50%
Takedown accuracy
37%
64%
Takedown defense
71%
0.08
Submission avg.
2.35

Trajectory

Daniel RodriguezPreston Parsons
1600165017001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (20%)
Submission
9 (82%)
7 (35%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Rodriguez70%
Preston Parsons 30%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Rodriguez a 70% favorite over Preston Parsons in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Daniel Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1747 to 1610, a 137-point edge.

Daniel Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Preston Parsons enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Rodriguez finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Preston Parsons 82%.

Daniel Rodriguez carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.