Daniel Rutkowski vs Márcio Barbosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-4-0Record18-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'6"
67"Reach70"
146 lbsWeight146 lbs
Cross Fight RadomTeamEquipe RD Champions
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
If they win+16→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1697
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel RutkowskiMárcio Barbosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Márcio Barbosa53%
Daniel Rutkowski 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Márcio Barbosa a 53% favorite over Daniel Rutkowski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Rutkowski's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1713), separated by just 2 points.
Daniel Rutkowski enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Márcio Barbosa enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Daniel Rutkowski finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Márcio Barbosa 94%.
Márcio Barbosa carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.