Daniel Salas vs Roger Zapata
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-1Record4-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'11"
70"ReachTBD
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Bonebreakers MMA· 1626 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamBruno Tostes BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-16→ 1529
If they win+24→ 1571
If they lose-24→ 1523
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Daniel SalasRoger Zapata
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Salas53%
Roger Zapata 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Salas a 53% favorite over Roger Zapata in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roger Zapata's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1545 vs 1547), separated by just 2 points.
Daniel Salas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Daniel Salas finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Roger Zapata 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.