Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Santos vs Morgan Charrière

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record21-12-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
67"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamTeam Chapa Quente

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel SantosNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Morgan CharrièreNow 1643
If they win+12→ 1655
If they lose-12→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.76
Sig. strikes / min
4.02
41%
Strike accuracy
50%
5.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.51
51%
Strike defense
54%
3.01
Takedown avg.
2.06
40%
Takedown accuracy
0%
73%
Takedown defense
83%
0
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Daniel SantosMorgan Charrière
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
13 (62%)
2 (14%)
Submission
3 (14%)
5 (36%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Santos56%
Morgan Charrière 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Santos a 56% favorite over Morgan Charrière in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1643), separated by just 2 points.

Daniel Santos finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Morgan Charrière 76%.

Morgan Charrière carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.