Daniel Sarafian vs Dillon Danis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record2-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach72"
185 lbsWeight175 lbs
Power MMATeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563
If they win+24→ 1600
If they lose-24→ 1552
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1482 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel SarafianDillon Danis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dillon Danis68%
Daniel Sarafian 32%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dillon Danis a 68% favorite over Daniel Sarafian in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Sarafian's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1576), separated by just 3 points.
Daniel Sarafian enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Dillon Danis enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Daniel Sarafian finishes 73% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.