Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Sarafian vs Hojat Khajevand

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record10-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Power MMATeamFightclub Freiburg

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel SarafianNow 1580
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
Hojat KhajevandNow 1582
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniel SarafianHojat Khajevand
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
7 (64%)
Submission
4 (40%)
3 (27%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Hojat Khajevand60%
Daniel Sarafian 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hojat Khajevand a 60% favorite over Daniel Sarafian in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1582), separated by just 2 points.

Daniel Sarafian enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Hojat Khajevand enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Sarafian finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Hojat Khajevand 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.