Daniel Sarafian vs Julian Marquez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record9-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'2"
TBDReach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Power MMATeamFactory X
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Daniel SarafianJulian Marquez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Julian Marquez65%
Daniel Sarafian 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Julian Marquez a 65% favorite over Daniel Sarafian in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Sarafian's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1577), separated by just 3 points.
Daniel Sarafian enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Julian Marquez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Daniel Sarafian finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Julian Marquez 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.