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Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Schwindt vs Fernando Gonzalez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record29-20-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
181 lbsWeight186 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel SchwindtNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554
Fernando GonzalezNow 1569
If they win+12→ 1581
If they lose-12→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.80
Not available
Strike accuracy
40%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.06
Not available
Strike defense
66%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.57
Not available
Takedown accuracy
20%
Not available
Takedown defense
44%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.15

Trajectory

Daniel SchwindtFernando Gonzalez
155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
12 (41%)
1 (13%)
Submission
6 (21%)
1 (13%)
Decision
11 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Schwindt52%
Fernando Gonzalez 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Schwindt a 52% favorite over Fernando Gonzalez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1569), separated by just 1 points.

Fernando Gonzalez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Schwindt finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Fernando Gonzalez 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.