Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Schwindt vs Guilherme Vasconcelos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record10-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
181 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kongs GymTeamBH Rhinos

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel SchwindtNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Guilherme VasconcelosNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.27
TBD
Strike accuracy
30%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
TBD
Strike defense
71%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniel SchwindtGuilherme Vasconcelos
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
1 (13%)
Submission
5 (50%)
1 (13%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Schwindt66%
Guilherme Vasconcelos 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Schwindt a 66% favorite over Guilherme Vasconcelos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1572), separated by just 0 points.

Guilherme Vasconcelos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Schwindt finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Guilherme Vasconcelos 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.