Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Schwindt vs Roger Narvaez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Roger Narvaez
us

Roger Narvaez

“The Silverback”

8-4-0MiddleweightFFC

1573Solid

Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record8-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
-ReachTBD
181 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kongs GymTeamFull Contact Fight Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel SchwindtNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Roger NarvaezNow 1573
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.12
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.32
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.95

Trajectory

Daniel SchwindtRoger Narvaez
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
1 (13%)
Submission
2 (25%)
1 (13%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Schwindt66%
Roger Narvaez 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Schwindt a 66% favorite over Roger Narvaez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roger Narvaez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1573), separated by just 1 points.

Roger Narvaez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Schwindt finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Roger Narvaez 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.