Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Stittgen vs Maiwand Hamras

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-9-0Record2-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Midwest Training CenterTeamFightlab Munich

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel StittgenNow 1509
If they win+16→ 1525
If they lose-16→ 1493
Maiwand HamrasNow 1509
If they win+24→ 1533
If they lose-24→ 1485

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.97
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
37%
Strike defense
TBD
0.78
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniel StittgenMaiwand Hamras
1500155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
9 (75%)
Submission
2 (100%)
1 (8%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Maiwand Hamras61%
Daniel Stittgen 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Maiwand Hamras a 61% favorite over Daniel Stittgen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Stittgen's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1509 vs 1509), separated by just 0 points.

Daniel Stittgen enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Daniel Stittgen finishes 92% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.